Understanding Your Player Profile
This guide walks you through every section of a player profile page using our demo player, Vince Venom.
Meet Vince Venom
Our demo player is a WR for the CV. We'll use his data to explain each section of the player profile.
The projection range shows three numbers that represent the spectrum of likely outcomes for this player's fantasy performance.
The minimum we expect. Vince scores at least this in 85% of games. Use for safe plays in cash games.
Our best guess. 50/50 chance of going above or below. Most likely outcome.
The upside. Vince hits this in about 15% of games (smash spots). Use for tournament upside.
💡 Pro Tip
The range width (ceiling - floor) tells you volatility. Vince's range is 15.8 points — moderate volatility. Wider ranges mean more boom/bust potential.
This shows how accurate our projections have been for this specific player. Use it to gauge how much you can trust our predictions.
In-Range Accuracy (53.8%)
How often Vince's actual score fell between our floor and ceiling. Above 50% is good — Vince at 53.8% is easier to project than most WRs (avg 48%).
VS Position Average (+5.8%)
Vince is 5.8% more predictable than the average WR. Positive numbers mean we're more accurate for this player.
Average Error (-1.2 pts)
On average, we project Vince 1.2 points higher than he actually scores (slight over-projection). ±3 pts is considered solid.
Toxins are situational factors that adjust our projections. Think of them as context-aware modifiers — matchup advantages, weather effects, or injury concerns.
Vince is expected to face the opponent's #1 corner, who has held WRs to below-average production this season.
Delta (±points)
How much the toxin adjusts the projection. Negative means reduction, positive means boost.
Confidence (%)
How certain we are this factor applies. 70%+ is high confidence, meaning strong historical evidence.
Was Correct?
After games complete, we track whether each toxin's adjustment was accurate. A ✓ means the adjustment moved the projection in the right direction.
The game log shows historical performance with our projection accuracy. Each game shows the "zone" where the actual score landed.
Below floor
Floor → Median
Near median
Median → Ceiling
Above ceiling
| Week | Floor | Median | Ceiling | Actual | Zone | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 14 | 8.7 | 15.2 | 24.5 | 18.4 | Ceiling | +3.2 |
| Week 13 | 9.1 | 14.8 | 23.1 | 6.2 | Bust | -8.6 |
Reading the Error Column
Positive error (+3.2) means the player outperformed our median projection. Negative error (-8.6) means they underperformed.
The Stats tab shows standard NFL statistics pulled from our database. These are the classic stats you'd see on any sports site.
Season Totals
Cumulative stats for each season — yards, touchdowns, receptions, etc. Position-specific columns (QBs see passing, RBs see rushing).
Career Totals
Lifetime statistics across all seasons in our database. Great for understanding a player's overall production history.
📊 Stats vs Analytics
Stats show raw production (yards, TDs). Analytics show our projection accuracy and badges. Use both together — stats tell you what happened, analytics tell you how predictable it was.
Ready to explore?
Now that you understand player profiles, dive into the projections!